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In
considering how best to rebalance the budget, the debate
in recent months has shifted from cutting expenditure
to devising new ways to extract revenue from the economy.
Income has indeed fallen, and structural changes support
arguments that Hong Kong needs to revamp its sources
of income. The large and persistent fiscal deficit simply
complicates matters.
Most taxes fall into one of three categories: direct,
indirect and excise. Direct taxation is that which affects
incomes, profits or wealth, while indirect taxes apply
to goods, services or trade. Another way of thinking
about it is that direct taxes are paid directly to the
Inland Revenue, while indirect taxes are paid to someone
who then pays the government. Excise taxes, which we
will not mention further, are the group to which import
duties and similar levies belong.
One of the key differences between direct and indirect
taxation is in the choices they offer taxpayers. Direct
taxes may be avoided by reducing income, profits or
wealth (generally not attractive options), whereas indirect
taxes may be avoided by deciding to purchase fewer products
subject to tax, or none at all. Alcohol, tobacco and
fuel are indirectly taxed in Hong Kong and those wishing
to avoid paying the levy may simply chose not to use
these products. Some taxed products are more difficult
to avoid than others, but the general rule holds true.
Is one type of tax inherently better, or less damaging
than another? It is commonly argued that indirect taxes
are more regressive than direct taxes, which is to say
that the higher one's income, the smaller portion of
that income goes to pay the tax, and vice versa. This
is true to a degree, as in the case of a tax on rice
or water: regardless of level of income, everyone will
buy such products, and the poorer one is, the greater
the tax burden as a share of income. However, a tax
on motor vehicles is less regressive as one must already
be in a certain (fairly high) income bracket before
being subjected to the tax.
The two also differ in how they modify behaviour. Direct
taxes apply to personal income or corporate profit,
and if they are too high, may discourage people from
working harder or recording more profits inside the
tax jurisdiction. In extreme cases, where the tax rate
rises sharply, it may actually be disadvantageous to
earn more money. For example, if someone earning up
to $1 million is taxed 25 percent, and those earning
over $1 million are taxed 40 percent, then any raise
between $1 million and $1.25 million would result in
a net loss of take-home pay.
Indirect taxes, on the other hand, discourage consumption
(or, encourage savings). The more one consumes, the
more tax one has to pay. Certainly, everyone must consume
a certain minimum amount to keep body and soul together,
and so it is argued that because richer people need
to spend a smaller share for their daily needs, indirect
taxes are unfair. However, the richer family still pays
more tax than their poorer relations. If a family spends
$1,000 on food, and is taxed 5 percent on that purchase,
the tax is $50, while those who spend $5,000 on food
would pay $250 in taxes.
Further, indirect taxes are often used to urge consumers
to alter their behaviour in ways that are thought to
be good for society. Hence, alcohol and tobacco are
frequently taxed at a higher rate than fruit and vegetables.
However, such systems add complexity to retailers' accounting
and costs to revenue collectors in the form of more
complicated audits.
Most economies tax both directly and indirectly, although
the two are typically much more balanced than in Hong
Kong. Income and profits taxes are usually progressive
in nature, that is, the first bite the taxman takes
is smaller than subsequent bites on higher income and
profits. The argument in favour of progressive taxation
-- that those who earn more should pay more - is fundamentally
about income redistribution. Everyone benefits from
fire services, but under a progressive tax regime it
is the wealthier people who pay for, or pay more for
everyone's safety.
Finally, there is the cost of tax collection. Direct
taxes require that detailed records be kept by each
potential taxpayer, to prove how much tax (if any) should
be paid. Indirect taxes require that such records are
kept by businesses. In both cases, each layer of complexity
adds to the cost of collection and, ultimately, reduces
the amount available to the government.
As we consider the pros and cons of a goods and services
tax (GST), we should think about ways to reduce the
impact on the poorest members of society while limiting
the accounting costs to business. One way to help the
neediest among us would be to increase the Comprehensive
Social Security Allowance (CSSA) by the same amount
as the GST, say 5 percent. That would be a very low-cost
way of ensuring that the tax does not hurt those who
can afford it the least.
The alternative approach is to exclude a shopping list
of items from taxation. The exemptions might include
rice, vegetables and so forth. However, there are two
undesirable side effects to this method. First, rich
people would benefit from tax-free rice and vegetables
as well, and so the exemption itself would be regressive.
Second, merchants would have to calculate the tax on
each separate item, rather than on the total grocery
bill, which would add to their costs. As the Financial
Secretary ponders such issues, it would be wise to remember
the KISS principle: Keep It Simple, Sir.
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