|
The
Financial Secretary emphasised that the government is
not abandoning market economics, but is preparing a
better foundation for market economics. I personally
believe that the proposed budget is acceptable and took
into consideration today's difficult economic climate.
Although the proposal is able to relieve burdens for
the population, it poses no immediate drawbacks on the
business environment.
Taxation Policy
What concerns businessmen in the budget are the government's
tax and development policies. In this adverse economic
environment, government support for businesses is vital.
The budget proposed to exempt rates for nearly eighty-five
percent of property owners and waive water and sewage
charges, industrial sewage surcharges, and business
registration fees. Not only is this good news to SMEs,
it also indirectly encourages entrepreneurship. A Boundary
Facilities Improvement Tax of HKD18 was put forward,
but it would not be a significant burden to the general
public. This Boundary Facilities Improvement Tax will
not only go towards developing border facilities and
logistics resources, but will also improve trade and
economic relationship between Hong Kong and the Mainland.
On the other hand, imposing a Goods and Service Tax,
as some have previously suggested, will have a significant
effect on Hong Kong's economy and her image as a tax-free
shopping paradise, directly affecting local tourism.
As Hong Kong's exchange rate remains strong, the world
economy continues to experience a recession and other
cities like Shanghai, Singapore and those in Thailand
and Japan are actively attracting tourists, the government
should seriously consider the various implications if
a Goods and Service Tax is introduced. Hong Kong should
maintain its simple and low tax system in order to continue
to attract foreign investment. When the economy recovers,
businesses may be more able to withstand a slight increase
in profits tax to solve the budget deficit.
Direction of Development
Even though Hong Kong has successfully undergone various
challenges, stock market disasters and financial troubles,
the present structural changes in the economy and the
mainland's lightning economic development is not something
that most SMEs can face by themselves. Government support
towards the population and the business sector is needed
urgently. Investment risks in technological research
and development, and human resources are usually too
high for businesses to bear alone, government support
for these items are vital. The government has traditionally
followed a "laissez-faire" policy, but in
reality Hong Kong's economy cannot further develop without
government support, and co-operation and input from
the business and the population. As a trade association,
a businessman and a citizen of Hong Kong, I would encourage
all to participate more in the government's policies
and express our views to the government, so that the
government would better plan how to better develop Hong
Kong's future.
Mainland/Hong Kong Closer Economic
Partnership Arrangement
Since the government is no longer completely letting
the market dictate economic course, it could choose
to take on the role of leader and promoter for trade.
For example, the government could actively promote closer
trade ties with the mainland. This would allow exporters
to better compete and take advantage of China's entry
into the WTO. We hope that the government can start
to negotiate and attain agreements with the central
government to allow Hong Kong's businesses enjoy the
same economic benefits as other foreign enterprises
(such as tax exemptions, simplified customs clearance,
expedited working procedures, relaxation of domestic
sales restrictions, opening up insurance, advertising,
travel and other professional industries). Hong Kong's
experience as a traditional trading port and financial
hub would not only benefit China in its economic development,
but would also stabilise Hong Kong's economy, making
it a win-win situation for both. Government spending
in infrastructure, education and trade development in
order to improve Hong Kong's population language and
technology skills would compliment Hong Kong and the
Mainland's efforts to develop closer trade ties.
Simply start from the Pearl River
Delta Region
According to 2000 and 2001 statistics by Business Stat-Online,
exports growth for the last two quarters declined by
15%, re-exports dropped 5%, imports decreased by 5%
and the trade deficit was at 2%. However, exports from
the Mainland, especially from the Pearl River Delta
Region, were able to increase under the adverse global
economic environment. For 2001, the Pearl River Delta
Region accounted for 78.8% of Guangdong Province's economy
and China's GDP reached RMB1,055.6 thousand million.
In preparation for the expected decreases in import
tariffs and the gradual cancellation of import permits
and quotas following China's entry into the WTO, the
Pearl River Delta Region is developing its consumer
markets, transportation and logistic facilities. This
would enable Guangzhou to act as a springboard for Hong
Kong in being the main distribution centre for the province
and Southern China. Hong Kong and Shenzhen, being close
neighbours and having different benefits, will also
be able to co-operate further and compliment each other
on technology, telecommunications, finance, travel,
trade, transport and border management. The relationship
between Hong Kong and the Pearl River Region has spanned
over 20-30 years, co-operating hand in hand with Guangdong
would be the quickest starting point for Hong Kong to
better compete in China and the international arena.
My only concern is the acceptance and response of civil
servants to possible salary decreases. I agree with
the government on the importance of simplifying bureaucracy
and reallocation of resources. Within these few past
years, government spending has increased from 75 thousand
million to 240 thousand million, of which spending on
payroll for civil servants and other supporting organisations
comprises of 70%. It is apparent that suggestions to
control the expenses ratio needs to be implemented immediately.
The remuneration system also has to be reviewed, to
allow for more flexibility and tied to performance.
Regular reviews of respective departments and support
structures should be performed to avoid structural and
functional duplication, which waste expenditure. Thus,
recent reviews of the functions of the Vocational Training
Council and Employees Retraining Council are welcome.
There are also concerns that the private sector will
follow the civil servants' pay reduction. At the end
of last year and the beginning of this year, a number
of large and small businesses had announced or performed
salary and payroll reductions, I personally believe
that most companies are already operating at a very
lean level. An economic recovery is much hoped for so
that the unemployed can return to work. Employers and
employees will also be able to set goals and try to
achieve them.
Conclusion
On March 7th, the Chairman of The Federal Reserve Board,
Mr. Alan Greenspan, announced that the economy forecast
was more optimistic than before. In fact, the 4th quarter
last year showed an unexpected growth of 0.2% instead
of -1%. The worries about the 911 tragedy seemed not
to be as bad as forecasted. Also, a trend for long-term
recovery appeared in the first quarter this year. The
recent weak Japanese Yen was beneficial to its exports,
causing concerns that increased Sino-Japanese trade
would make Japan a big competitor for Hong Kong. If
Hong Kong is able to strengthen its technology development,
with her geographic advantage and good timing, closer
trade ties with China should not be a problem. Under
the global economy led by US economic recovery and closer
trade relationship with the Mainland, Hong Kong's economy
will stabilize. I am very confident that the prospects
for economic development will brighten up for this year,
referring to The Financial Secretary: "Side by
side we overcome ills as the Hong Kong story we write".
|